Is ABEV or STZ more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Ambev S.A. (ABEV) and Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ABEV has a Quality of Company score of 8.6/10 while STZ scores 8.0/10.

Which is a better buy — ABEV or STZ?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ABEV and STZ valuations compare?

ABEV at $3.20 and STZ at $142.13 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ABEV vs STZ Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ABEV

Beverages - Brewers

Ambev S.A.

Quality

8.6

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$3.20

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

STZ

Beverages - Brewers

Constellation Brands, Inc.

Quality

8.0

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$142.13

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ABEV Fair Value	ABEV Upside	STZ Fair Value	STZ Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.69	-47.2%	$117.43	-17.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$3.67	+14.6%	$204.30	+43.7%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for ABEV vs STZ — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

ABEV vs STZ — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ABEV scores higher with a 8.6/10 quality rating vs STZ's 8.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Ambev S.A. (ABEV) and Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ABEV currently trades at $3.20 with a QOC of 8.6/10, while STZ trades at $142.13 with a QOC of 8.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).