TROOPS, Inc. (TROO) Fair Value 2026

TROO · Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

1.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, TROOPS, Inc. (TROO) trades at $2.17, approximately 341% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.49. QOC: 1.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TROO
Price
$2.17
Quality Score
1.7/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +151.1% upside with 9% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 1.7/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.17)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.49 -77.3%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$0.25 -88.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.28 -40.9%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$5.45 +151.1%

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What Is TROOPS, Inc. (TROO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TROOPS, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.31. Trading at its current price of $2.17, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -39.5%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $5.45 (+151.1%), while RCMH-DCF — the most conservative — estimates $0.11 (-95.1%). This +246.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about TROOPS, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About TROO?

12 of 13 models are currently active for TROO. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TROO's intrinsic value at $0.49, implying -77.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TROO Rank in Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution?

Among 4 Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution stocks, TROO ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 1.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 1.7 signals below-average fundamentals.

The Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution sector introduces analytical considerations specific to banking businesses. For TROOPS, Inc., metrics like CET1 capital ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is TROO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TROO a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for TROOPS, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TROOPS, Inc. scores 1.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +246.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TROO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TROO's 12 active models, average confidence is 12%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy TROOPS, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

3 related Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About TROOPS, Inc.

What is TROOPS, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, TROOPS, Inc. (TROO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.49. The Quality of Company score is 1.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TROO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.17, 3 of 12 active models suggest TROO may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits TROOPS, Inc.'s business model in Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution.

What does a Quality of Company score of 1.7 mean for TROO?

TROOPS, Inc.'s QOC of 1.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TROO?

CirclFi analyzes TROO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TROO a value trap in 2026?

TROOPS, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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