Raytech Holding Limited (RAY) Fair Value 2026

RAY · Household Appliances ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Raytech Holding Limited (RAY) trades at $2.85, approximately 12% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.24. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RAY
Price
$2.85
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +158.5% upside with 34% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.85)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$3.24 +13.6%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$2.74 -4.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$3.09 +8.5%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$7.37 +158.5%

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What Is Raytech Holding Limited (RAY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Raytech Holding Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $3.20, suggesting a +12.3% average upside from the current price of $2.85. While 7 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 3 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $7.37 (+158.5%), versus Dynamic NAV at $0.61 (-78.7%). This +237.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About RAY?

12 of 13 models are currently active for RAY. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates RAY's intrinsic value at $3.24, implying +13.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RAY Rank in Household Appliances?

Among 5 Household Appliances stocks, RAY ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places RAY in the top tier.

Raytech Holding Limited's positioning within the Household Appliances segment means that e-commerce penetration rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including private label penetration — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is RAY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RAY a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Raytech Holding Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Raytech Holding Limited scores 8.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +237.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RAY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RAY's 12 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Raytech Holding Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Household Appliances Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Household Appliances stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: SN · VIOT · WHR · COOK

Frequently Asked Questions About Raytech Holding Limited

What is Raytech Holding Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Raytech Holding Limited (RAY) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.24. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RAY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.85, 7 of 12 active models suggest RAY may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Raytech Holding Limited's business model in Household Appliances.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for RAY?

Raytech Holding Limited's QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RAY?

CirclFi analyzes RAY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RAY a value trap in 2026?

Raytech Holding Limited's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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