Chart Industries, Inc. (GTLS) Fair Value 2026

GTLS · Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Chart Industries, Inc. (GTLS) trades at $209.78, approximately 305% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $51.80. QOC: 9.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GTLS
Price
$209.78
Quality Score
9.3/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +221.6% upside with 80% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($209.78)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $51.80 -75.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $674.72 +221.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $323.32 +54.1%
Markov DDM
High Conviction
 $38.90 -81.5%

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What Is Chart Industries, Inc. (GTLS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Chart Industries, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $209.78. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $263.77 (+25.7% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 4 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Sentiment SOTP targets $975.97 (+365.2%), versus Markov DDM at $38.90 (-81.5%). This +446.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GTLS?

11 of 13 models are currently active for GTLS. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GTLS's intrinsic value at $51.80, implying -75.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GTLS Rank in Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops)?

Among 4 Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops) stocks, GTLS ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places GTLS in the top tier.

Chart Industries, Inc.'s positioning within the Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops) segment means that reserve replacement ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including production growth trajectory — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is GTLS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GTLS a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Chart Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Chart Industries, Inc. earns a quality score of 9.3/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +446.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GTLS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GTLS's 11 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Chart Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

3 related Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops) stocks with 13-model coverage

SMRNuScale Power CorporationQOC 6.0NKLRTerra Innovatum Global N.V.QOC 5.4IMSRTerrestrial Energy Inc.QOC 4.9

Read investment analysis: SMR · NKLR · IMSR

Frequently Asked Questions About Chart Industries, Inc.

What is Chart Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Chart Industries, Inc. (GTLS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $51.80. The Quality of Company score is 9.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GTLS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $209.78, 5 of 11 active models suggest GTLS may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Chart Industries, Inc.'s business model in Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops).

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.3 mean for GTLS?

Chart Industries, Inc.'s QOC of 9.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GTLS?

CirclFi analyzes GTLS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GTLS a value trap in 2026?

Chart Industries, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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