Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) Fair Value 2026

CMCSA · Cable & Other Pay Television Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) trades at $23.97, approximately 66% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $69.77. QOC: 8.4/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CMCSA
Price
$23.97
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +273.7% upside with 74% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($23.97)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$69.77 +191.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$89.59 +273.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$64.29 +168.2%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$54.86 +128.9%

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What Is Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Comcast Corporation is potentially undervalued at its current price of $23.97. Based on our 13-model framework, Comcast Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $58.97 — representing +146.0% implied upside — with 11 out of 13 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $130.32 (+443.7%), versus Dynamic NAV at $8.56 (-64.3%). This +508.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CMCSA?

13 of 13 models are currently active for CMCSA. Of these, 11 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CMCSA's intrinsic value at $69.77, implying +191.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CMCSA Rank in Cable & Other Pay Television Services?

Among 18 Cable & Other Pay Television Services stocks, CMCSA ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places CMCSA in the top tier.

Comcast Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CMCSA a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CMCSA. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Comcast Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Comcast Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.4/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +508.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CMCSA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CMCSA's 13 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Comcast Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Cable & Other Pay Television Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Cable & Other Pay Television Services stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CHTR · RCI · CCZ · GLIBK · GLIBA

Frequently Asked Questions About Comcast Corporation

What is Comcast Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $69.77. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CMCSA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $23.97, 11 of 13 active models suggest CMCSA may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Comcast Corporation's business model in Cable & Other Pay Television Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for CMCSA?

Comcast Corporation's QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CMCSA?

CirclFi analyzes CMCSA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CMCSA a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for CMCSA at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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