Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) Fair Value 2026

CHTR · Telecom Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) trades at $108.64, versus a $405.12 median fair value across its 9 active models — 272.9% above the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $538.10.

Key Facts

Ticker
CHTR
Price
$108.64
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +395.3% upside with 70% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Is Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $405.12, 272.9% above the current price of $108.64. Estimates range from $70.13 to $646.19. CHTR scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. CHTR’s +272.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Telecom Services sector median is +39.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Charter Communications, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CHTR?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($108.64)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $538.10 +395.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $405.12 +272.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $477.10 +339.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $278.49 +156.3%
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What Is CHTR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $70.13 to $646.19

CirclFi's 9 active models place Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) between $70.13 and $646.19 per share, a spread of 142% of the median. The median of that range — $405.12 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CHTR, against a current price of $108.64.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · RCMH-DCF
$70.13median $405.12$646.19
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$70.13
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$646.19
Model agreement8 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CHTR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CHTR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Charter Communications, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $108.64. Based on our 13-model framework, Charter Communications, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $405.12 — representing +272.9% implied upside — with 8 out of 9 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $646.19 (+494.8%), versus Markov DDM at $70.13 (-35.4%). This +530.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CHTR?

9 of 13 models are currently active for CHTR. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CHTR is $405.12 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $538.10 on its own, implying +395.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CHTR Rank in Telecom Services?

Among 55 Telecom Services stocks, CHTR ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places CHTR in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Telecom Services Stocks →

As a media and communications company, Charter Communications, Inc. operates in a sector where content cost ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CHTR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CHTR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CHTR a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Charter Communications, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Charter Communications, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.4/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +530.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CHTR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CHTR's 9 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Charter Communications, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telecom Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Telecom Services stocks with 13-model coverage

BCEBCE Inc.QOC 8.6TIMBTIM S.A.QOC 8.3TMUST-Mobile US, Inc.QOC 8.7RCIRogers Communications Inc.QOC 8.3IRDMIridium Communications Inc.QOC 8.7ATEXAnterix Inc.QOC 8.2TUTELUS CorporationQOC 7.4ECHOEchoStar CorporationQOC 6.1OPTUOptimum Communications, Inc.QOC 5.2IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: BCE · TIMB · TMUS · RCI · IRDM · ATEX · TU · ECHO · OPTU · IDT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CHTR?

7 companies across all industries closest to CHTR’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

VLOValero Energy CorporationQOC 8.4QCRHQCR Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.4ACAArcosa, Inc.QOC 8.4NWSANews CorporationQOC 8.4UFCSUnited Fire Group, Inc.QOC 8.4SIGASIGA Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: VLO · QCRH · ACA · NWSA · UFCS · SIGA · NVDA

Where Does CHTR Sit in CirclFi's Telecom Services Rankings?

CHTR is ranked against every other Telecom Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Telecom Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Charter Communications, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Charter Communications, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR)'s intrinsic value at $405.12 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $70.13 to $646.19. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $538.10 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CHTR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $108.64, 8 of 9 active models suggest CHTR may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $405.12, 272.9% above the current price of $108.64 — a consensus view that CHTR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Charter Communications, Inc.'s business model in Telecom Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for CHTR?

Charter Communications, Inc.'s QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CHTR?

CirclFi analyzes CHTR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CHTR?

Of the 9 models currently active on CHTR, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $646.19 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $70.13. CirclFi's published fair value for CHTR is the median of that range, $405.12, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 142% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CHTR a value trap in 2026?

Charter Communications, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) has a median fair value of $405.12 — 272.9% above the current price of $108.64 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CHTR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CHTR valuation
  • Financial statements: Charter Communications, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001091667) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CHTR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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