CHS Inc (CHSCO) Fair Value 2026

CHSCO · Wholesale-Farm Product Raw Materials ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, CHS Inc (CHSCO) trades at $25.84, approximately 44% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $46.24. QOC: 7.1/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CHSCO
Price
$25.84
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +78.9% upside with 69% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($25.84)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$46.24 +78.9%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$13.73 -46.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
$37.48 +45.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$16.19 -37.4%

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What Is CHS Inc (CHSCO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CHS Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at $38.23, suggesting a +48.0% average upside from the current price of $25.84. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 4 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $77.21 (+198.8%), versus EPV at $13.73 (-46.9%). This +245.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CHSCO?

13 of 13 models are currently active for CHSCO. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CHSCO's intrinsic value at $46.24, implying +78.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CHSCO Rank in Wholesale-Farm Product Raw Materials?

Among 6 Wholesale-Farm Product Raw Materials stocks, CHSCO ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

CHS Inc operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CHSCO a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CHSCO. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for CHS Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CHS Inc scores 7.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +245.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CHSCO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CHSCO's 13 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CHS Inc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Wholesale-Farm Product Raw Materials Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

5 related Wholesale-Farm Product Raw Materials stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: ANDE · UVV · CHSCL · CHSCM · SEB

Frequently Asked Questions About CHS Inc

What is CHS Inc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, CHS Inc (CHSCO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $46.24. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CHSCO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $25.84, 9 of 13 active models suggest CHSCO may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CHS Inc's business model in Wholesale-Farm Product Raw Materials.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for CHSCO?

CHS Inc's QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CHSCO?

CirclFi analyzes CHSCO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CHSCO a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for CHSCO at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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