AstroNova, Inc. (ALOT) Fair Value 2026

ALOT · Computer Hardware ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (30/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, AstroNova, Inc. (ALOT) trades at $28.99, versus a $7.54 median fair value across its 8 active models — 74.0% below the current price. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 30/100 (LOW). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $5.69.

Key Facts

Ticker
ALOT
Price
$28.99
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
30/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: 8 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is AstroNova, Inc. (ALOT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, AstroNova, Inc. (ALOT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $7.54, 74.0% below the current price of $28.99. Estimates range from $3.14 to $20.07. ALOT scores 7.2/10 on fundamental quality and 30/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ALOT’s -74.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Computer Hardware sector median is -63.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy AstroNova, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ALOT?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($28.99)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.69 -80.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $7.82 -73.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.49 -74.2%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $3.14 -89.2%
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What Is ALOT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $3.14 to $20.07

CirclFi's 8 active models place AstroNova, Inc. (ALOT) between $3.14 and $20.07 per share, a spread of 224% of the median. The median of that range — $7.54 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ALOT, against a current price of $28.99.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$3.14median $7.54$20.07
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$3.14
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$20.07
Model agreement0 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ALOT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ALOT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is AstroNova, Inc. (ALOT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AstroNova, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $7.54. Trading at its current price of $28.99, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -74.0%. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at -30.8% (fair value: $20.07), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -89.2% ($3.14). The spread between these extremes — +58.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ALOT?

8 of 13 models are currently active for ALOT. All 8 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for ALOT is $7.54 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $5.69 on its own, implying -80.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ALOT Rank in Computer Hardware?

Among 42 Computer Hardware stocks, ALOT ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

AstroNova, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ALOT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ALOT a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for AstroNova, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, AstroNova, Inc. earns a quality score of 7.2/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +58.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ALOT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ALOT's 8 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AstroNova, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Computer Hardware Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Computer Hardware stocks with 13-model coverage

TACTTransAct Technologies IncorporatedQOC 7.4CANCanaan Inc.QOC 7.0CRCTCricut, Inc.QOC 7.9CRSRCorsair Gaming, Inc.QOC 6.9HPQHP Inc.QOC 7.9DDD3D Systems CorporationQOC 6.8UAVSAgEagle Aerial Systems, Inc.QOC 5.9VTIXVirtuix Holdings Inc.QOC 5.1AGMHAGM Group Holdings Inc.QOC 1.8ANETArista Networks, Inc.QOC 9.8STXSeagate Technology Holdings plcQOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: TACT · CAN · CRCT · CRSR · HPQ · DDD · UAVS · VTIX · AGMH · ANET · STX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ALOT?

7 companies across all industries closest to ALOT’s Quality of Company score of 7.2/10.

IMOSChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC.QOC 7.2GOTUGaotu Techedu Inc.QOC 7.2NHINational Health Investors, Inc.QOC 7.2BILLBILL Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.2HASHasbro, Inc.QOC 7.2DXCDXC Technology CompanyQOC 7.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: IMOS · GOTU · NHI · BILL · HAS · DXC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About AstroNova, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is AstroNova, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts AstroNova, Inc. (ALOT)'s intrinsic value at $7.54 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.14 to $20.07. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $5.69 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ALOT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $28.99, 0 of 8 active models suggest ALOT may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $7.54, 74.0% below the current price of $28.99 — a consensus view that ALOT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AstroNova, Inc.'s business model in Computer Hardware.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for ALOT?

AstroNova, Inc.'s QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ALOT?

CirclFi analyzes ALOT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ALOT?

Of the 8 models currently active on ALOT, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $20.07 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $3.14. CirclFi's published fair value for ALOT is the median of that range, $7.54, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 224% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ALOT a value trap in 2026?

AstroNova, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 30/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, AstroNova, Inc. (ALOT) has a median fair value of $7.54 — 74.0% below the current price of $28.99 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ALOT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ALOT valuation
  • Financial statements: AstroNova, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000008146) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ALOT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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