Is XERS or XLO more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. (XERS) and Xilio Therapeutics, Inc. (XLO) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. XERS has a Quality of Company score of 8.6/10 while XLO scores 5.2/10.

Which is a better buy — XERS or XLO?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do XERS and XLO valuations compare?

XERS at $6.16 and XLO at $8.46 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

XERS vs XLO Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

XERS

Pharmaceutical Preparations

Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc.

Quality

8.6

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$6.16

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

XLO

Pharmaceutical Preparations

Xilio Therapeutics, Inc.

Quality

5.2

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$8.46

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	XERS Fair Value	XERS Upside	XLO Fair Value	XLO Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.45	-76.5%	$15.38	+81.8%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.13	-97.8%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$1.73	-72.2%	$1.06	-87.7%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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XERS vs XLO — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

XERS scores higher with a 8.6/10 quality rating vs XLO's 5.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. (XERS) and Xilio Therapeutics, Inc. (XLO) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

XERS currently trades at $6.16 with a QOC of 8.6/10, while XLO trades at $8.46 with a QOC of 5.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).