Is VNDA or VSTM more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) and Verastem, Inc. (VSTM) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. VNDA has a Quality of Company score of 6.3/10 while VSTM scores 5.8/10.

Which is a better buy — VNDA or VSTM?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do VNDA and VSTM valuations compare?

VNDA at $6.45 and VSTM at $4.33 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

VNDA vs VSTM Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

VNDA

Pharmaceutical Preparations

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Quality

6.3

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$6.45

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

VSTM

Pharmaceutical Preparations

Verastem, Inc.

Quality

5.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$4.33

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	VNDA Fair Value	VNDA Upside	VSTM Fair Value	VSTM Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$4.15	-35.7%	$2.16	-50.2%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.57	-91.9%	$2.79	-35.6%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$3.20	-50.3%	$2.19	-49.3%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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VNDA vs VSTM — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

VNDA scores higher with a 6.3/10 quality rating vs VSTM's 5.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) and Verastem, Inc. (VSTM) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

VNDA currently trades at $6.45 with a QOC of 6.3/10, while VSTM trades at $4.33 with a QOC of 5.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).