Is VNDA or VRCA more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) and Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. VNDA has a Quality of Company score of 6.3/10 while VRCA scores 5.4/10.

Which is a better buy — VNDA or VRCA?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do VNDA and VRCA valuations compare?

VNDA at $6.64 and VRCA at $6.04 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

VNDA vs VRCA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

VNDA

Biotechnology

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Quality

6.3

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$6.64

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

VRCA

Biotechnology

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Quality

5.4

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$6.04

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	VNDA Fair Value	VNDA Upside	VRCA Fair Value	VRCA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$4.15	-37.6%	$1.50	-75.1%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.57	-91.9%	$0.98	-86.3%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$3.20	-51.8%	$2.61	-56.8%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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VNDA vs VRCA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

VNDA scores higher with a 6.3/10 quality rating vs VRCA's 5.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) and Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

VNDA currently trades at $6.64 with a QOC of 6.3/10, while VRCA trades at $6.04 with a QOC of 5.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).