Is VIST or VTS more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) and Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. VIST has a Quality of Company score of 2.0/10 while VTS scores 7.2/10.

Which is a better buy — VIST or VTS?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do VIST and VTS valuations compare?

VIST at $74.20 and VTS at $17.28 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

VIST vs VTS Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

VIST

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.

Quality

2.0

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$74.20

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

VTS

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Vitesse Energy, Inc.

Quality

7.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$17.28

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	VIST Fair Value	VIST Upside	VTS Fair Value	VTS Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$34.67	-53.3%	$28.46	+64.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$40.86	-44.2%	$0.65	-96.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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VIST vs VTS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

VTS scores higher with a 7.2/10 quality rating vs VIST's 2.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) and Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

VIST currently trades at $74.20 with a QOC of 2.0/10, while VTS trades at $17.28 with a QOC of 7.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).