Is VET or VIST more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) and Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. VET has a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 while VIST scores 2.0/10.

Which is a better buy — VET or VIST?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do VET and VIST valuations compare?

VET at $11.13 and VIST at $74.20 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

VET vs VIST Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

VET

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Vermilion Energy Inc.

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$11.13

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

VIST

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.

Quality

2.0

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$74.20

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	VET Fair Value	VET Upside	VIST Fair Value	VIST Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$3.36	-69.8%	$34.67	-53.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$40.86	-44.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$3.50	-70.5%	$0.11	-99.8%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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VET vs VIST — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

VIST scores higher with a 2.0/10 quality rating vs VET's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) and Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

VET currently trades at $11.13 with a QOC of 1.7/10, while VIST trades at $74.20 with a QOC of 2.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).