Is URG or VGZ more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Ur Energy Inc (URG) and Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. URG has a Quality of Company score of 4.3/10 while VGZ scores 5.0/10.

Which is a better buy — URG or VGZ?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do URG and VGZ valuations compare?

URG at $1.62 and VGZ at $2.41 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

URG vs VGZ Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

URG

Gold and Silver Ores

Ur Energy Inc

Quality

4.3

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$1.62

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

VGZ

Gold and Silver Ores

Vista Gold Corp

Quality

5.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$2.41

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	URG Fair Value	URG Upside	VGZ Fair Value	VGZ Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.37	-76.9%	$0.77	-67.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.22	-86.6%	$0.11	-95.4%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$0.44	-72.7%	$0.54	-77.8%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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URG vs VGZ — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

VGZ scores higher with a 5.0/10 quality rating vs URG's 4.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Ur Energy Inc (URG) and Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

URG currently trades at $1.62 with a QOC of 4.3/10, while VGZ trades at $2.41 with a QOC of 5.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).