Is UBS or VLY more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares UBS Group AG Registered (UBS) and Valley National Bancorp (VLY) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. UBS has a Quality of Company score of 2.1/10 while VLY scores 7.5/10.

Which is a better buy — UBS or VLY?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do UBS and VLY valuations compare?

UBS at $47.08 and VLY at $13.77 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

UBS vs VLY Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

UBS

National Commercial Banks

UBS Group AG Registered

Quality

2.1

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$47.08

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

VLY

National Commercial Banks

Valley National Bancorp

Quality

7.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$13.77

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	UBS Fair Value	UBS Upside	VLY Fair Value	VLY Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$16.75	-64.4%	$3.17	-77.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$137.48	+204.1%	$11.32	-17.8%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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UBS vs VLY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

VLY scores higher with a 7.5/10 quality rating vs UBS's 2.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing UBS Group AG Registered (UBS) and Valley National Bancorp (VLY) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

UBS currently trades at $47.08 with a QOC of 2.1/10, while VLY trades at $13.77 with a QOC of 7.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).