Is TVE or VST more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Tennessee Valley Authority (TVE) and Vistra Corp. (VST) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. TVE has a Quality of Company score of 6.1/10 while VST scores 7.3/10.

Which is a better buy — TVE or VST?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do TVE and VST valuations compare?

TVE at $23.55 and VST at $160.23 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

TVE vs VST Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

TVE

Electric Services

Tennessee Valley Authority

Quality

6.1

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$23.55

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

VST

Electric Services

Vistra Corp.

Quality

7.3

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$160.23

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	TVE Fair Value	TVE Upside	VST Fair Value	VST Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$100.74	-36.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$2.78	-98.3%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$23.25	-1.4%	$123.02	-23.2%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$1.72	-92.7%	—	—
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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TVE vs VST — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

VST scores higher with a 7.3/10 quality rating vs TVE's 6.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Tennessee Valley Authority (TVE) and Vistra Corp. (VST) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

TVE currently trades at $23.55 with a QOC of 6.1/10, while VST trades at $160.23 with a QOC of 7.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).