Is TPC or VATE more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) and INNOVATE Corp. (VATE) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. TPC has a Quality of Company score of 6.2/10 while VATE scores 6.2/10.

Which is a better buy — TPC or VATE?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do TPC and VATE valuations compare?

TPC at $73.27 and VATE at $14.40 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

TPC vs VATE Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

TPC

Engineering & Construction

Tutor Perini Corporation

Quality

6.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$73.27

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

VATE

Engineering & Construction

INNOVATE Corp.

Quality

6.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$14.40

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	TPC Fair Value	TPC Upside	VATE Fair Value	VATE Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$10.95	-85.1%	$73.82	+412.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$18.95	-74.1%	$54.47	+278.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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TPC vs VATE — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

TPC scores higher with a 6.2/10 quality rating vs VATE's 6.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) and INNOVATE Corp. (VATE) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

TPC currently trades at $73.27 with a QOC of 6.2/10, while VATE trades at $14.40 with a QOC of 6.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).