Quick Summary — TLRY scores higher on quality with 6.8/10 vs UPC's 1.5/10. TLRY trades at $5.38 while UPC trades at $3.38. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.
TLRY scores higher with a 6.8/10 quality rating vs UPC's 1.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.
At $5.38, TLRY trades +71.5% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.53, while UPC at $3.38 trades +80.5% above its estimate of $0.66. UPC shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.
TLRY earns a Quality of Company score of 6.8/10 compared to UPC's 1.5/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.
TLRY carries a WARN value trap risk (45/100) while UPC shows SAFE risk (15/100). Stocks with value trap scores above 40 may appear undervalued but face deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue can make the apparent discount a trap.
Both TLRY and UPC operate in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic, which has 79 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).
11 hidden models compare TLRY vs UPC differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.
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