Is TKO or WMG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) and Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. TKO has a Quality of Company score of 6.4/10 while WMG scores 8.2/10.

Which is a better buy — TKO or WMG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do TKO and WMG valuations compare?

TKO at $200.54 and WMG at $32.35 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

TKO vs WMG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

TKO

Entertainment

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

Quality

6.4

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$200.54

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

WMG

Entertainment

Warner Music Group Corp.

Quality

8.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$32.35

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	TKO Fair Value	TKO Upside	WMG Fair Value	WMG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$92.03	-54.1%	$13.05	-59.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$99.45	-50.4%	$17.43	-46.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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TKO vs WMG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

WMG scores higher with a 8.2/10 quality rating vs TKO's 6.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) and Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

TKO currently trades at $200.54 with a QOC of 6.4/10, while WMG trades at $32.35 with a QOC of 8.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).