TGTX vs TIL

TG Therapeutics, Inc. vs Instil Bio, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — TGTX scores higher on quality with 8.6/10 vs TIL's 4.4/10. TGTX trades at $36.64 while TIL trades at $8.11. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

TGTX

Biotechnology
TG Therapeutics, Inc.
Quality
8.6
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$36.64
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

TIL

Biotechnology
Instil Bio, Inc.
Quality
4.4
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$8.11
Last close
Models
7/13
Active
TGTX
Quality Score 8.6/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
TIL
Dynamic NAV sees +59.2% upside
Quality 4.4/10 — below average

TGTX vs TIL — Fair Value Comparison

TGTX
$0$14$29$43 Price$36.64 Bayesian …$15.58 (-57.5%) Earnings …$3.28 (-91.0%)
TIL
$0$5$10$15 Price$8.11 Bayesian …$2.52 (-68.9%) Dynamic N…$12.91 (+59.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType TGTX Fair ValueTGTX Upside TIL Fair ValueTIL Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $15.58 -57.5% $2.52 -68.9%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $3.28 -91.0%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $2.78 -92.4% $12.91 +59.2%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

TGTX vs TIL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

TGTX scores higher with a 8.6/10 quality rating vs TIL's 4.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do TGTX and TIL Valuations Compare?

At $36.64, TGTX trades +57.5% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $15.58, while TIL at $8.11 trades +68.9% above its estimate of $2.52. TIL shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: TGTX vs TIL

TGTX earns a Quality of Company score of 8.6/10 compared to TIL's 4.4/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: TGTX vs TIL

TGTX carries a SAFE value trap risk (6/100) while TIL shows SAFE risk (24/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Biotechnology

Both TGTX and TIL operate in Biotechnology, which has 566 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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