TCBS vs TCBX

Texas Community Bancshares, Inc vs Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — TCBX scores higher on quality with 9.0/10 vs TCBS's 8.5/10. TCBS trades at $16.76 while TCBX trades at $38.16. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

TCBS

Banks - Regional
Texas Community Bancshares, Inc
Quality
8.5
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$16.76
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
VS

TCBX

Banks - Regional
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc.
Quality
9.0
out of 10
Value Trap
22
SAFE
Price
$38.16
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
TCBS
Quality Score 8.5/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
TCBX
Earnings Power Value sees +48.1% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

TCBS vs TCBX — Fair Value Comparison

TCBS
$0$7$13$20 Price$16.76 Bayesian …$4.75 (-71.6%) Earnings …$9.85 (-41.2%)
TCBX
$0$22$44$67 Price$38.16 Bayesian …$33.92 (-11.1%) Earnings …$56.51 (+48.1%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType TCBS Fair ValueTCBS Upside TCBX Fair ValueTCBX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $4.75 -71.6% $33.92 -11.1%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $9.85 -41.2% $56.51 +48.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

TCBS vs TCBX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

TCBX scores higher with a 9.0/10 quality rating vs TCBS's 8.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do TCBS and TCBX Valuations Compare?

At $16.76, TCBS trades +71.6% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.75, while TCBX at $38.16 trades +11.1% above its estimate of $33.92. TCBS shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: TCBS vs TCBX

TCBS earns a Quality of Company score of 8.5/10 compared to TCBX's 9.0/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: TCBS vs TCBX

Review the value trap analysis for both TCBS and TCBX to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Banks - Regional

Both TCBS and TCBX operate in Banks - Regional, which has 329 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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