TCBI vs TCBX

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. vs Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — TCBX scores higher on quality with 9.0/10 vs TCBI's 8.8/10. TCBI trades at $99.74 while TCBX trades at $38.16. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

TCBI

Banks - Regional
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.
Quality
8.8
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$99.74
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

TCBX

Banks - Regional
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc.
Quality
9.0
out of 10
Value Trap
22
SAFE
Price
$38.16
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
TCBI
Earnings Power Value sees +11.5% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
TCBX
Earnings Power Value sees +48.1% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

TCBI vs TCBX — Fair Value Comparison

TCBI
$0$44$88$131 Price$99.74 Bayesian …$73.03 (-26.8%) Earnings …$111.24 (+11.5%)
TCBX
$0$22$44$67 Price$38.16 Bayesian …$33.92 (-11.1%) Earnings …$56.51 (+48.1%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType TCBI Fair ValueTCBI Upside TCBX Fair ValueTCBX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $73.03 -26.8% $33.92 -11.1%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $111.24 +11.5% $56.51 +48.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

TCBI vs TCBX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

TCBX scores higher with a 9.0/10 quality rating vs TCBI's 8.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do TCBI and TCBX Valuations Compare?

At $99.74, TCBI trades +26.8% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $73.03, while TCBX at $38.16 trades +11.1% above its estimate of $33.92. TCBI shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: TCBI vs TCBX

TCBI earns a Quality of Company score of 8.8/10 compared to TCBX's 9.0/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: TCBI vs TCBX

TCBI carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while TCBX shows SAFE risk (22/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Banks - Regional

Both TCBI and TCBX operate in Banks - Regional, which has 329 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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