TCBI vs TCBK

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. vs TriCo Bancshares — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — TCBK scores higher on quality with 9.5/10 vs TCBI's 8.8/10. TCBI trades at $99.74 while TCBK trades at $50.67. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

TCBI

Banks - Regional
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.
Quality
8.8
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$99.74
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

TCBK

Banks - Regional
TriCo Bancshares
Quality
9.5
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$50.67
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
TCBI
Earnings Power Value sees +11.5% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
TCBK
Quality Score 9.5/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

TCBI vs TCBK — Fair Value Comparison

TCBI
$0$44$88$131 Price$99.74 Bayesian …$73.03 (-26.8%) Earnings …$111.24 (+11.5%)
TCBK
$0$20$40$60 Price$50.67 Bayesian …$28.36 (-44.0%) Earnings …$37.03 (-26.9%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType TCBI Fair ValueTCBI Upside TCBK Fair ValueTCBK Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $73.03 -26.8% $28.36 -44.0%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $111.24 +11.5% $37.03 -26.9%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

TCBI vs TCBK — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

TCBK scores higher with a 9.5/10 quality rating vs TCBI's 8.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do TCBI and TCBK Valuations Compare?

At $99.74, TCBI trades +26.8% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $73.03, while TCBK at $50.67 trades +44.0% above its estimate of $28.36. TCBK shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: TCBI vs TCBK

TCBI earns a Quality of Company score of 8.8/10 compared to TCBK's 9.5/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: TCBI vs TCBK

TCBI carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while TCBK shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Banks - Regional

Both TCBI and TCBK operate in Banks - Regional, which has 329 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

You’re comparing 2 models. 11 more have an opinion.

11 hidden models compare TCBI vs TCBK differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.

11 additional fair values per stock Full confidence breakdown Live terminal — 5,000+ stocks

Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo  ·  FactSet: ~$1,000/mo  ·  CirclFi: $0.90/day

See All 13 Models — $0.90/day

We don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.

See all Banks - Regional stocks →