TC vs TTD Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

Quick Summary — TTD scores higher on quality with 9.7/10 vs TC's 3.9/10. TC trades at $8.80 while TTD trades at $21.10. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

TC

Advertising Agencies

Token Cat Limited

Quality

3.9

out of 10

Value Trap

47

WARN

Price

$8.80

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

VS

TTD

Advertising Agencies

The Trade Desk, Inc.

Quality

9.7

out of 10

Value Trap

6

SAFE

Price

$21.10

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

TC

2 models active

Value Trap 47/100 — caution

TTD

Bayesian DCF sees +22.9% upside

Limited to 2/13 visible models

TC vs TTD — Fair Value Comparison

TC

TTD

Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	TC Fair Value	TC Upside	TTD Fair Value	TTD Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.09	-87.6%	$25.93	+22.9%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.39	-95.8%	$6.04	-71.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

TC vs TTD — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

TTD scores higher with a 9.7/10 quality rating vs TC's 3.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do TC and TTD Valuations Compare?

At $8.80, TC trades +87.6% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.09, while TTD at $21.10 trades +22.9% below its estimate of $25.93. TC shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: TC vs TTD

TC earns a Quality of Company score of 3.9/10 compared to TTD's 9.7/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: TC vs TTD

TC carries a WARN value trap risk (47/100) while TTD shows SAFE risk (6/100). Stocks with value trap scores above 40 may appear undervalued but face deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue can make the apparent discount a trap.

Both in Advertising Agencies

Both TC and TTD operate in Advertising Agencies, which has 41 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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TC

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TTD

View Full The Trade Desk, Inc. Analysis →