SYY vs UNFI

Sysco Corporation vs United Natural Foods, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — SYY scores higher on quality with 8.5/10 vs UNFI's 7.0/10. SYY trades at $74.10 while UNFI trades at $52.31. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

SYY

Food Distribution
Sysco Corporation
Quality
8.5
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$74.10
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

UNFI

Food Distribution
United Natural Foods, Inc.
Quality
7.0
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$52.31
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
SYY
Quality Score 8.5/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
UNFI
RCMH-DCF sees +200.8% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

SYY vs UNFI — Fair Value Comparison

SYY
$0$29$58$87 Price$74.10 Bayesian …$53.45 (-27.9%) Earnings …$10.96 (-85.2%)
UNFI
$0$62$124$186 Price$52.31 Bayesian …$144.90 (+177.0%) RCMH-DCF$157.35 (+200.8%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType SYY Fair ValueSYY Upside UNFI Fair ValueUNFI Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $53.45 -27.9% $144.90 +177.0%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $10.96 -85.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $79.88 +7.8% $157.35 +200.8%

SYY vs UNFI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

SYY scores higher with a 8.5/10 quality rating vs UNFI's 7.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do SYY and UNFI Valuations Compare?

At $74.10, SYY trades +27.9% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $53.45, while UNFI at $52.31 trades +177.0% below its estimate of $144.90. UNFI shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: SYY vs UNFI

SYY earns a Quality of Company score of 8.5/10 compared to UNFI's 7.0/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: SYY vs UNFI

SYY carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while UNFI shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Food Distribution

Both SYY and UNFI operate in Food Distribution, which has 12 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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