SXTC vs TLRY

China SXT Pharmaceuticals, Inc. vs Tilray Brands, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — TLRY scores higher on quality with 6.8/10 vs SXTC's 1.1/10. SXTC trades at $1.78 while TLRY trades at $5.38. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

SXTC

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
China SXT Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Quality
1.1
out of 10
Value Trap
15
SAFE
Price
$1.78
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
VS

TLRY

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Tilray Brands, Inc.
Quality
6.8
out of 10
Value Trap
45
WARN
Price
$5.38
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
SXTC
Earnings Power Value sees +122.0% upside
Quality 1.1/10 — below average
TLRY
Dynamic NAV sees +32.1% upside
Value Trap 45/100 — caution

SXTC vs TLRY — Fair Value Comparison

SXTC
$0$2$4$5 Price$1.78 Bayesian …$0.23 (-86.8%) Earnings …$4.60 (+122.0%)
TLRY
$0$3$6$8 Price$5.38 Bayesian …$1.53 (-71.5%) Dynamic N…$7.11 (+32.1%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType SXTC Fair ValueSXTC Upside TLRY Fair ValueTLRY Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.23 -86.8% $1.53 -71.5%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $4.60 +122.0%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $7.11 +32.1%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

SXTC vs TLRY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

TLRY scores higher with a 6.8/10 quality rating vs SXTC's 1.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do SXTC and TLRY Valuations Compare?

At $1.78, SXTC trades +86.8% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.23, while TLRY at $5.38 trades +71.5% above its estimate of $1.53. SXTC shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: SXTC vs TLRY

SXTC earns a Quality of Company score of 1.1/10 compared to TLRY's 6.8/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: SXTC vs TLRY

SXTC carries a SAFE value trap risk (15/100) while TLRY shows WARN risk (45/100). Stocks with value trap scores above 40 may appear undervalued but face deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue can make the apparent discount a trap.

Both in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Both SXTC and TLRY operate in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic, which has 79 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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