SWIM vs TREX

Latham Group, Inc. vs Trex Company, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — TREX scores higher on quality with 9.5/10 vs SWIM's 7.4/10. SWIM trades at $5.32 while TREX trades at $41.59. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

SWIM

Building Products & Equipment
Latham Group, Inc.
Quality
7.4
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$5.32
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

TREX

Building Products & Equipment
Trex Company, Inc.
Quality
9.5
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$41.59
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
SWIM
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
TREX
Quality Score 9.5/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

SWIM vs TREX — Fair Value Comparison

SWIM
$0$2$4$6 Price$5.32 Bayesian …$0.75 (-85.7%) Earnings …$2.94 (-44.8%)
TREX
$0$16$33$49 Price$41.59 Bayesian …$5.23 (-87.4%) Earnings …$15.06 (-63.8%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType SWIM Fair ValueSWIM Upside TREX Fair ValueTREX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.75 -85.7% $5.23 -87.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $2.94 -44.8% $15.06 -63.8%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

SWIM vs TREX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

TREX scores higher with a 9.5/10 quality rating vs SWIM's 7.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do SWIM and TREX Valuations Compare?

At $5.32, SWIM trades +85.7% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.75, while TREX at $41.59 trades +87.4% above its estimate of $5.23. TREX shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: SWIM vs TREX

SWIM earns a Quality of Company score of 7.4/10 compared to TREX's 9.5/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: SWIM vs TREX

SWIM carries a SAFE value trap risk (24/100) while TREX shows SAFE risk (6/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Building Products & Equipment

Both SWIM and TREX operate in Building Products & Equipment, which has 36 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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