Is SRCE or STBA more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares 1st Source Corporation (SRCE) and S&T Bancorp, Inc. (STBA) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. SRCE has a Quality of Company score of 8.6/10 while STBA scores 9.0/10.

Which is a better buy — SRCE or STBA?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do SRCE and STBA valuations compare?

SRCE at $73.56 and STBA at $44.92 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

SRCE vs STBA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

SRCE

Banks - Regional

1st Source Corporation

Quality

8.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$73.56

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

STBA

Banks - Regional

S&T Bancorp, Inc.

Quality

9.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$44.92

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	SRCE Fair Value	SRCE Upside	STBA Fair Value	STBA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$32.41	-55.9%	$26.69	-40.6%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$42.76	-41.9%	$34.18	-23.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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SRCE vs STBA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

STBA scores higher with a 9.0/10 quality rating vs SRCE's 8.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing 1st Source Corporation (SRCE) and S&T Bancorp, Inc. (STBA) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

SRCE currently trades at $73.56 with a QOC of 8.6/10, while STBA trades at $44.92 with a QOC of 9.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).