SKIL vs STG

Skillsoft Corp. vs Sunlands Technology Group — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — STG scores higher on quality with 9.1/10 vs SKIL's 6.2/10. SKIL trades at $7.97 while STG trades at $3.81. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

SKIL

Education & Training Services
Skillsoft Corp.
Quality
6.2
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$7.97
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

STG

Education & Training Services
Sunlands Technology Group
Quality
9.1
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$3.81
Last close
Models
5/13
Active
SKIL
ML-RIV sees +116.1% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
STG
Dynamic NAV sees +44.6% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

SKIL vs STG — Fair Value Comparison

SKIL
$0$7$14$20 Price$7.97 Bayesian …$5.81 (-16.6%) ML-RIV$17.22 (+116.1%)
STG
$0$2$4$7 Price$3.81 Markov DDM$3.53 (-7.4%) Dynamic N…$5.51 (+44.6%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType SKIL Fair ValueSKIL Upside STG Fair ValueSTG Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $5.81 -16.6% — —
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $7.71 -3.2% $3.53 -7.4%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $17.22 +116.1% — —
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based — — $5.51 +44.6%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

SKIL vs STG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

STG scores higher with a 9.1/10 quality rating vs SKIL's 6.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do SKIL and STG Valuations Compare?

SKIL currently trades at $7.97 while STG trades at $3.81. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: SKIL vs STG

SKIL earns a Quality of Company score of 6.2/10 compared to STG's 9.1/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: SKIL vs STG

SKIL carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while STG shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Education & Training Services

Both SKIL and STG operate in Education & Training Services, which has 42 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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SKIL
View Full Skillsoft Corp. Analysis →
STG
View Full Sunlands Technology Group Analysis →