SBEV vs SNDL

Splash Beverage Group, Inc. (NV vs SNDL Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — SNDL scores higher on quality with 6.1/10 vs SBEV's 3.8/10. SBEV trades at $0.14 while SNDL trades at $1.44. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

SBEV

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Splash Beverage Group, Inc. (NV
Quality
3.8
out of 10
Value Trap
38
LOW
Price
$0.14
Last close
Models
8/13
Active
VS

SNDL

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
SNDL Inc.
Quality
6.1
out of 10
Value Trap
29
LOW
Price
$1.44
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
SBEV
RCMH-DCF sees +399.1% upside
Quality 3.8/10 — below average
SNDL
Bayesian DCF sees +82.8% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

SBEV vs SNDL — Fair Value Comparison

SBEV
$0$0$1$1 Price$0.14 Bayesian …$0.03 (-77.7%) RCMH-DCF$1.00 (+399.1%)
SNDL
$0$1$2$3 Price$1.44 Bayesian …$2.63 (+82.8%) Earnings …$1.56 (+8.5%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType SBEV Fair ValueSBEV Upside SNDL Fair ValueSNDL Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.03 -77.7% $2.63 +82.8%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $1.56 +8.5%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $1.00 +399.1% $2.35 +63.3%

SBEV vs SNDL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

SNDL scores higher with a 6.1/10 quality rating vs SBEV's 3.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do SBEV and SNDL Valuations Compare?

At $0.14, SBEV trades +77.7% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.03, while SNDL at $1.44 trades +82.8% below its estimate of $2.63. SNDL shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: SBEV vs SNDL

SBEV earns a Quality of Company score of 3.8/10 compared to SNDL's 6.1/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: SBEV vs SNDL

SBEV carries a LOW value trap risk (38/100) while SNDL shows LOW risk (29/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

Both SBEV and SNDL operate in Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries, which has 9 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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