Is SATL or SPAI more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Satellogic Inc. (SATL) and Safe Pro Group Inc. (SPAI) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. SATL has a Quality of Company score of 4.7/10 while SPAI scores 5.4/10.

Which is a better buy — SATL or SPAI?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do SATL and SPAI valuations compare?

SATL at $9.85 and SPAI at $5.41 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

SATL vs SPAI Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

SATL

Aerospace & Defense

Satellogic Inc.

Quality

4.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$9.85

Last close

Models

4/13

Active

SPAI

Aerospace & Defense

Safe Pro Group Inc.

Quality

5.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$5.41

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	SATL Fair Value	SATL Upside	SPAI Fair Value	SPAI Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.62	-73.4%	$1.83	-66.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$0.62	-86.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$9.68	-1.7%	$5.21	-3.8%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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SATL vs SPAI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

SPAI scores higher with a 5.4/10 quality rating vs SATL's 4.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Satellogic Inc. (SATL) and Safe Pro Group Inc. (SPAI) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

SATL currently trades at $9.85 with a QOC of 4.7/10, while SPAI trades at $5.41 with a QOC of 5.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).