Is QS or SES more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares QuantumScape Corporation (QS) and SES AI Corporation (SES) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. QS has a Quality of Company score of 4.5/10 while SES scores 4.7/10.

Which is a better buy — QS or SES?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do QS and SES valuations compare?

QS at $9.13 and SES at $1.38 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

QS vs SES Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

QS

Auto Parts

QuantumScape Corporation

Quality

4.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$9.13

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

SES

Auto Parts

SES AI Corporation

Quality

4.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$1.38

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	QS Fair Value	QS Upside	SES Fair Value	SES Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.83	-69.1%	$0.43	-68.8%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$3.09	-57.2%	$0.63	-40.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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QS vs SES — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

SES scores higher with a 4.7/10 quality rating vs QS's 4.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing QuantumScape Corporation (QS) and SES AI Corporation (SES) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

QS currently trades at $9.13 with a QOC of 4.5/10, while SES trades at $1.38 with a QOC of 4.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).