Is PSEC or RAND more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) and Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. PSEC has a Quality of Company score of 5.9/10 while RAND scores 7.5/10.

Which is a better buy — PSEC or RAND?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do PSEC and RAND valuations compare?

PSEC at $2.37 and RAND at $10.70 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

PSEC vs RAND Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

PSEC

Asset Management

Prospect Capital Corporation

Quality

5.9

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$2.37

Last close

Models

6/13

Active

RAND

Asset Management

Rand Capital Corporation

Quality

7.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$10.70

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	PSEC Fair Value	PSEC Upside	RAND Fair Value	RAND Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$4.84	+104.4%	$48.10	+349.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$2.62	+10.7%	$8.38	-21.7%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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PSEC vs RAND — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

RAND scores higher with a 7.5/10 quality rating vs PSEC's 5.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) and Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

PSEC currently trades at $2.37 with a QOC of 5.9/10, while RAND trades at $10.70 with a QOC of 7.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).