OWL vs OXSQ

Blue Owl Capital Inc. vs Oxford Square Capital Corp. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — OWL scores higher on quality with 7.4/10 vs OXSQ's 4.3/10. OWL trades at $10.07 while OXSQ trades at $1.40. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

OWL

Asset Management
Blue Owl Capital Inc.
Quality
7.4
out of 10
Value Trap
23
SAFE
Price
$10.07
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
VS

OXSQ

Asset Management
Oxford Square Capital Corp.
Quality
4.3
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$1.40
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
OWL
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
OXSQ
2 models active
Quality 4.3/10 — below average

OWL vs OXSQ — Fair Value Comparison

OWL
$0$4$8$12 Price$10.07 Bayesian …$7.70 (-23.5%) First Chi…$3.40 (-65.7%)
OXSQ
$0$1$1$2 Price$1.40 Bayesian …$0.51 (-63.4%) Earnings …$0.98 (-48.8%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType OWL Fair ValueOWL Upside OXSQ Fair ValueOXSQ Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $7.70 -23.5% $0.51 -63.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $0.98 -48.8%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $3.40 -65.7% $2.12 +55.0%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

OWL vs OXSQ — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

OWL scores higher with a 7.4/10 quality rating vs OXSQ's 4.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do OWL and OXSQ Valuations Compare?

At $10.07, OWL trades +23.5% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $7.70, while OXSQ at $1.40 trades +63.4% above its estimate of $0.51. OXSQ shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: OWL vs OXSQ

OWL earns a Quality of Company score of 7.4/10 compared to OXSQ's 4.3/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: OWL vs OXSQ

OWL carries a SAFE value trap risk (23/100) while OXSQ shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Asset Management

Both OWL and OXSQ operate in Asset Management, which has 448 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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