Is OVV or PED more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Ovintiv Inc. (DE) (OVV) and Pedevco Corp. (PED) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. OVV has a Quality of Company score of 5.4/10 while PED scores 5.9/10.

Which is a better buy — OVV or PED?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do OVV and PED valuations compare?

OVV at $56.04 and PED at $12.85 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

OVV vs PED Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

OVV

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Ovintiv Inc. (DE)

Quality

5.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$56.04

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

PED

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Pedevco Corp.

Quality

5.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$12.85

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	OVV Fair Value	OVV Upside	PED Fair Value	PED Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$52.71	-5.9%	$11.92	-7.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$33.70	-41.7%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$55.35	-6.0%	$25.99	+102.2%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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OVV vs PED — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

PED scores higher with a 5.9/10 quality rating vs OVV's 5.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Ovintiv Inc. (DE) (OVV) and Pedevco Corp. (PED) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

OVV currently trades at $56.04 with a QOC of 5.4/10, while PED trades at $12.85 with a QOC of 5.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).