Is ORN or SHIM more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN) and Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ORN has a Quality of Company score of 7.5/10 while SHIM scores 4.9/10.

Which is a better buy — ORN or SHIM?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ORN and SHIM valuations compare?

ORN at $13.76 and SHIM at $3.54 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ORN vs SHIM Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ORN

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors

Orion Group Holdings, Inc.

Quality

7.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$13.76

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

SHIM

Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors

Shimmick Corporation

Quality

4.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$3.54

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ORN Fair Value	ORN Upside	SHIM Fair Value	SHIM Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.70	-87.9%	$0.27	-92.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.18	-98.7%	$6.28	+16.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ORN vs SHIM — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ORN scores higher with a 7.5/10 quality rating vs SHIM's 4.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN) and Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ORN currently trades at $13.76 with a QOC of 7.5/10, while SHIM trades at $3.54 with a QOC of 4.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).