Is ORGN or VHI more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) and Valhi, Inc. (VHI) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ORGN has a Quality of Company score of 5.1/10 while VHI scores 6.5/10.

Which is a better buy — ORGN or VHI?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ORGN and VHI valuations compare?

ORGN at $1.51 and VHI at $14.67 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ORGN vs VHI Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ORGN

Chemicals

Origin Materials, Inc.

Quality

5.1

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$1.51

Last close

Models

6/13

Active

VHI

Chemicals

Valhi, Inc.

Quality

6.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$14.67

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ORGN Fair Value	ORGN Upside	VHI Fair Value	VHI Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.94	-37.4%	$9.46	-21.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$19.55	+28.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$7.63	+405.4%	$56.77	+287.0%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ORGN vs VHI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

VHI scores higher with a 6.5/10 quality rating vs ORGN's 5.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) and Valhi, Inc. (VHI) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ORGN currently trades at $1.51 with a QOC of 5.1/10, while VHI trades at $14.67 with a QOC of 6.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).