Is ONDS or SATL more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Ondas Inc (ONDS) and Satellogic Inc. (SATL) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ONDS has a Quality of Company score of 3.8/10 while SATL scores 4.7/10.

Which is a better buy — ONDS or SATL?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ONDS and SATL valuations compare?

ONDS at $13.22 and SATL at $9.51 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ONDS vs SATL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ONDS

Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment

Ondas Inc

Quality

3.8

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$13.22

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

SATL

Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment

Satellogic Inc.

Quality

4.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$9.51

Last close

Models

4/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ONDS Fair Value	ONDS Upside	SATL Fair Value	SATL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$3.88	-70.7%	$2.55	-73.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$1.47	-85.7%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$11.08	-16.2%	$9.43	-0.8%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for ONDS vs SATL — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

ONDS vs SATL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

SATL scores higher with a 4.7/10 quality rating vs ONDS's 3.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Ondas Inc (ONDS) and Satellogic Inc. (SATL) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ONDS currently trades at $13.22 with a QOC of 3.8/10, while SATL trades at $9.51 with a QOC of 4.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).