Is OLPX or UG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Olaplex Holdings, Inc. (OLPX) and United-Guardian, Inc. (UG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. OLPX has a Quality of Company score of 7.1/10 while UG scores 8.5/10.

Which is a better buy — OLPX or UG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do OLPX and UG valuations compare?

OLPX at $2.04 and UG at $6.93 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

OLPX vs UG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

OLPX

Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations

Olaplex Holdings, Inc.

Quality

7.1

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$2.04

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

UG

Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations

United-Guardian, Inc.

Quality

8.5

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$6.93

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	OLPX Fair Value	OLPX Upside	UG Fair Value	UG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$3.61	+77.0%	$4.83	-30.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.03	-98.6%	$2.74	-60.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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OLPX vs UG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

UG scores higher with a 8.5/10 quality rating vs OLPX's 7.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Olaplex Holdings, Inc. (OLPX) and United-Guardian, Inc. (UG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

OLPX currently trades at $2.04 with a QOC of 7.1/10, while UG trades at $6.93 with a QOC of 8.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).