Is OLN or ORGN more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Olin Corporation (OLN) and Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. OLN has a Quality of Company score of 4.4/10 while ORGN scores 5.1/10.

Which is a better buy — OLN or ORGN?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do OLN and ORGN valuations compare?

OLN at $26.75 and ORGN at $1.51 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

OLN vs ORGN Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

OLN

Chemicals

Olin Corporation

Quality

4.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$26.75

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

ORGN

Chemicals

Origin Materials, Inc.

Quality

5.1

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$1.51

Last close

Models

6/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	OLN Fair Value	OLN Upside	ORGN Fair Value	ORGN Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$110.49	+313.0%	$0.94	-37.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$44.03	+53.9%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$46.01	+72.0%	$7.63	+405.4%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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OLN vs ORGN — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ORGN scores higher with a 5.1/10 quality rating vs OLN's 4.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Olin Corporation (OLN) and Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

OLN currently trades at $26.75 with a QOC of 4.4/10, while ORGN trades at $1.51 with a QOC of 5.1/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).