Is OLLI or TGT more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) and Target Corporation (TGT) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. OLLI has a Quality of Company score of 8.5/10 while TGT scores 8.3/10.

Which is a better buy — OLLI or TGT?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do OLLI and TGT valuations compare?

OLLI at $82.54 and TGT at $128.65 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

OLLI vs TGT Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

OLLI

Discount Stores

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings

Quality

8.5

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$82.54

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

TGT

Discount Stores

Target Corporation

Quality

8.3

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$128.65

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	OLLI Fair Value	OLLI Upside	TGT Fair Value	TGT Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$43.59	-47.2%	$67.77	-47.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$14.85	-82.0%	$24.22	-81.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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OLLI vs TGT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

OLLI scores higher with a 8.5/10 quality rating vs TGT's 8.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) and Target Corporation (TGT) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

OLLI currently trades at $82.54 with a QOC of 8.5/10, while TGT trades at $128.65 with a QOC of 8.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).