OIO vs OWL

OIO Group vs Blue Owl Capital Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — OWL scores higher on quality with 7.4/10 vs OIO's 5.2/10. OIO trades at $2.01 while OWL trades at $10.07. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

OIO

Asset Management
OIO Group
Quality
5.2
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$2.01
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

OWL

Asset Management
Blue Owl Capital Inc.
Quality
7.4
out of 10
Value Trap
23
SAFE
Price
$10.07
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
OIO
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
OWL
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

OIO vs OWL — Fair Value Comparison

OIO
$0$1$2$2 Price$2.01 Bayesian …$0.36 (-81.9%) Dynamic N…$0.05 (-97.4%)
OWL
$0$4$8$12 Price$10.07 Bayesian …$7.70 (-23.5%) First Chi…$3.40 (-65.7%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType OIO Fair ValueOIO Upside OWL Fair ValueOWL Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.36 -81.9% $7.70 -23.5%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $0.07 -96.6% $3.40 -65.7%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $0.05 -97.4%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

OIO vs OWL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

OWL scores higher with a 7.4/10 quality rating vs OIO's 5.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do OIO and OWL Valuations Compare?

At $2.01, OIO trades +81.9% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.36, while OWL at $10.07 trades +23.5% above its estimate of $7.70. OIO shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: OIO vs OWL

OIO earns a Quality of Company score of 5.2/10 compared to OWL's 7.4/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: OIO vs OWL

OIO carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while OWL shows SAFE risk (23/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Asset Management

Both OIO and OWL operate in Asset Management, which has 448 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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