OESX vs POWL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

Quick Summary — POWL scores higher on quality with 10.0/10 vs OESX's 6.1/10. OESX trades at $9.48 while POWL trades at $299.07. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

OESX

Electrical Equipment & Parts

Orion Energy Systems, Inc.

Quality

6.1

out of 10

Value Trap

24

SAFE

Price

$9.48

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

VS

POWL

Electrical Equipment & Parts

Powell Industries, Inc.

Quality

10.0

out of 10

Value Trap

28

LOW

Price

$299.07

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

OESX

2 models active

Limited to 2/13 visible models

POWL

Quality Score 10.0/10 — top tier

Limited to 2/13 visible models

OESX vs POWL — Fair Value Comparison

OESX

POWL

Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	OESX Fair Value	OESX Upside	POWL Fair Value	POWL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.82	-91.7%	$61.87	-79.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.61	-93.5%	$66.32	-77.8%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

OESX vs POWL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

POWL scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs OESX's 6.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do OESX and POWL Valuations Compare?

At $9.48, OESX trades +91.7% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.82, while POWL at $299.07 trades +79.3% above its estimate of $61.87. OESX shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: OESX vs POWL

OESX earns a Quality of Company score of 6.1/10 compared to POWL's 10.0/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: OESX vs POWL

OESX carries a SAFE value trap risk (24/100) while POWL shows LOW risk (28/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Electrical Equipment & Parts

Both OESX and POWL operate in Electrical Equipment & Parts, which has 46 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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OESX

View Full Orion Energy Systems, Inc. Analysis →

POWL

View Full Powell Industries, Inc. Analysis →