OESX vs POLA

Orion Energy Systems, Inc. vs Polar Power, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — OESX scores higher on quality with 6.1/10 vs POLA's 4.5/10. OESX trades at $9.48 while POLA trades at $2.08. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

OESX

Electrical Equipment & Parts
Orion Energy Systems, Inc.
Quality
6.1
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$9.48
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

POLA

Electrical Equipment & Parts
Polar Power, Inc.
Quality
4.5
out of 10
Value Trap
44
WARN
Price
$2.08
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
OESX
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
POLA
2 models active
Value Trap 44/100 — caution

OESX vs POLA — Fair Value Comparison

OESX
$0$4$7$11 Price$9.48 Bayesian …$0.82 (-91.7%) Earnings …$0.61 (-93.5%)
POLA
$0$1$2$2 Price$2.08 Bayesian …$0.06 (-96.9%) Dynamic N…$1.28 (-30.6%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType OESX Fair ValueOESX Upside POLA Fair ValuePOLA Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.82 -91.7% $0.06 -96.9%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $0.61 -93.5% — —
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $1.92 -79.7% $1.28 -30.6%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

OESX vs POLA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

OESX scores higher with a 6.1/10 quality rating vs POLA's 4.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do OESX and POLA Valuations Compare?

At $9.48, OESX trades +91.7% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.82, while POLA at $2.08 trades +96.9% above its estimate of $0.06. POLA shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: OESX vs POLA

OESX earns a Quality of Company score of 6.1/10 compared to POLA's 4.5/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: OESX vs POLA

OESX carries a SAFE value trap risk (24/100) while POLA shows WARN risk (44/100). Stocks with value trap scores above 40 may appear undervalued but face deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue can make the apparent discount a trap.

Both in Electrical Equipment & Parts

Both OESX and POLA operate in Electrical Equipment & Parts, which has 46 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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OESX
View Full Orion Energy Systems, Inc. Analysis →
POLA
View Full Polar Power, Inc. Analysis →