Is OBT or ONBPP more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) and Old National Bancorp - Deposita (ONBPP) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. OBT has a Quality of Company score of 9.6/10 while ONBPP scores 5.9/10.

Which is a better buy — OBT or ONBPP?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do OBT and ONBPP valuations compare?

OBT at $34.25 and ONBPP at $24.77 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

OBT vs ONBPP Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

OBT

Banks - Regional

Orange County Bancorp, Inc.

Quality

9.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$34.25

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

ONBPP

Banks - Regional

Old National Bancorp - Deposita

Quality

5.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$24.77

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	OBT Fair Value	OBT Upside	ONBPP Fair Value	ONBPP Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$37.42	+9.3%	$23.23	-6.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$44.77	+30.7%	$20.04	-19.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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OBT vs ONBPP — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

OBT scores higher with a 9.6/10 quality rating vs ONBPP's 5.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) and Old National Bancorp - Deposita (ONBPP) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

OBT currently trades at $34.25 with a QOC of 9.6/10, while ONBPP trades at $24.77 with a QOC of 5.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).