Is NTR or SMG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) and Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The (SMG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. NTR has a Quality of Company score of 8.4/10 while SMG scores 7.2/10.

Which is a better buy — NTR or SMG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do NTR and SMG valuations compare?

NTR at $69.65 and SMG at $60.48 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

NTR vs SMG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

NTR

Agricultural Inputs

Nutrien Ltd.

Quality

8.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$69.65

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

SMG

Agricultural Inputs

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The

Quality

7.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$60.48

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	NTR Fair Value	NTR Upside	SMG Fair Value	SMG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$44.67	-35.9%	$11.54	-80.9%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$105.05	+50.8%	$6.41	-89.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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NTR vs SMG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NTR scores higher with a 8.4/10 quality rating vs SMG's 7.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) and Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The (SMG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

NTR currently trades at $69.65 with a QOC of 8.4/10, while SMG trades at $60.48 with a QOC of 7.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).