NPCT vs NTRS

102479 vs Northern Trust Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — NTRS scores higher on quality with 6.1/10 vs NPCT's 1.7/10. NPCT trades at $10.01 while NTRS trades at $169.79. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

NPCT

Asset Management
102479
Quality
1.7
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$10.01
Last close
Models
6/13
Active
VS

NTRS

Asset Management
Northern Trust Corporation
Quality
6.1
out of 10
Value Trap
20
SAFE
Price
$169.79
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
NPCT
2 models active
Quality 1.7/10 — below average
NTRS
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

NPCT vs NTRS — Fair Value Comparison

NPCT
$0$4$8$12 Price$10.01 Bayesian …$2.60 (-74.0%) Markov DDM$10.40 (-0.9%)
NTRS
$0$67$134$200 Price$169.79 Bayesian …$70.60 (-57.7%) Earnings …$130.12 (-22.0%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType NPCT Fair ValueNPCT Upside NTRS Fair ValueNTRS Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $2.60 -74.0% $70.60 -57.7%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $130.12 -22.0%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $10.40 -0.9% $47.89 -71.8%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

NPCT vs NTRS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

NTRS scores higher with a 6.1/10 quality rating vs NPCT's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do NPCT and NTRS Valuations Compare?

At $10.01, NPCT trades +74.0% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.60, while NTRS at $169.79 trades +57.7% above its estimate of $70.60. NPCT shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: NPCT vs NTRS

NPCT earns a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 compared to NTRS's 6.1/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: NPCT vs NTRS

Review the value trap analysis for both NPCT and NTRS to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Asset Management

Both NPCT and NTRS operate in Asset Management, which has 448 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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