NGVC vs VLGEA

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott vs Village Super Market, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — VLGEA scores higher on quality with 9.5/10 vs NGVC's 9.4/10. NGVC trades at $29.10 while VLGEA trades at $37.59. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

NGVC

Grocery Stores
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott
Quality
9.4
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$29.10
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

VLGEA

Grocery Stores
Village Super Market, Inc.
Quality
9.5
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$37.59
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
NGVC
Quality Score 9.4/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
VLGEA
Quality Score 9.5/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

NGVC vs VLGEA — Fair Value Comparison

NGVC
$0$11$23$34 Price$29.10 Bayesian …$8.17 (-71.6%) Earnings …$0.48 (-98.3%)
VLGEA
$0$15$30$44 Price$37.59 Bayesian …$29.92 (-20.4%) Earnings …$14.43 (-61.6%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType NGVC Fair ValueNGVC Upside VLGEA Fair ValueVLGEA Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $8.17 -71.6% $29.92 -20.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $0.48 -98.3% $14.43 -61.6%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

NGVC vs VLGEA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

VLGEA scores higher with a 9.5/10 quality rating vs NGVC's 9.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do NGVC and VLGEA Valuations Compare?

At $29.10, NGVC trades +71.6% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $8.17, while VLGEA at $37.59 trades +20.4% above its estimate of $29.92. NGVC shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: NGVC vs VLGEA

NGVC earns a Quality of Company score of 9.4/10 compared to VLGEA's 9.5/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: NGVC vs VLGEA

Review the value trap analysis for both NGVC and VLGEA to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Grocery Stores

Both NGVC and VLGEA operate in Grocery Stores, which has 11 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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