Is NFGC or ORLA more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares New Found Gold Corp (NFGC) and Orla Mining Ltd. (ORLA) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. NFGC has a Quality of Company score of 5.7/10 while ORLA scores 2.0/10.

Which is a better buy — NFGC or ORLA?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do NFGC and ORLA valuations compare?

NFGC at $2.00 and ORLA at $12.46 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

NFGC vs ORLA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

NFGC

Gold

New Found Gold Corp

Quality

5.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$2.00

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

ORLA

Gold

Orla Mining Ltd.

Quality

2.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$12.46

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	NFGC Fair Value	NFGC Upside	ORLA Fair Value	ORLA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.60	-70.2%	$3.60	-71.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.25	-88.0%	$12.26	-15.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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NFGC vs ORLA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NFGC scores higher with a 5.7/10 quality rating vs ORLA's 2.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing New Found Gold Corp (NFGC) and Orla Mining Ltd. (ORLA) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

NFGC currently trades at $2.00 with a QOC of 5.7/10, while ORLA trades at $12.46 with a QOC of 2.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).