MSGE vs NWS

Madison Square Garden Entertain vs News Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MSGE scores higher on quality with 9.6/10 vs NWS's 8.7/10. MSGE trades at $72.08 while NWS trades at $30.18. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MSGE

Entertainment
Madison Square Garden Entertain
Quality
9.6
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$72.08
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

NWS

Entertainment
News Corporation
Quality
8.7
out of 10
Value Trap
8
SAFE
Price
$30.18
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
MSGE
Quality Score 9.6/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
NWS
Quality Score 8.7/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

MSGE vs NWS — Fair Value Comparison

MSGE
$0$28$57$85 Price$72.08 Bayesian …$41.20 (-42.8%) Earnings …$7.75 (-89.3%)
NWS
$0$12$24$36 Price$30.18 Bayesian …$14.50 (-52.0%) Earnings …$0.70 (-97.7%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MSGE Fair ValueMSGE Upside NWS Fair ValueNWS Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $41.20 -42.8% $14.50 -52.0%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $7.75 -89.3% $0.70 -97.7%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

MSGE vs NWS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MSGE scores higher with a 9.6/10 quality rating vs NWS's 8.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MSGE and NWS Valuations Compare?

At $72.08, MSGE trades +42.8% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $41.20, while NWS at $30.18 trades +52.0% above its estimate of $14.50. NWS shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MSGE vs NWS

MSGE earns a Quality of Company score of 9.6/10 compared to NWS's 8.7/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MSGE vs NWS

MSGE carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while NWS shows SAFE risk (8/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Entertainment

Both MSGE and NWS operate in Entertainment, which has 50 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

You’re comparing 2 models. 11 more have an opinion.

11 hidden models compare MSGE vs NWS differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.

11 additional fair values per stock Full confidence breakdown Live terminal — 5,000+ stocks

Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo  ·  FactSet: ~$1,000/mo  ·  CirclFi: $0.90/day

See All 13 Models — $0.90/day

We don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.

See all Entertainment stocks →